EVENTS & ENTERTAINMENT | FOOD & DRINK | THE ARTS | REAL ESTATE | HOME & GARDEN | WELLNESS | SOCIAL SCENE | GETAWAYS | PARENTS & KIDS Community News Tournament of Roses Foundation Awards $200,000 to 42 Local Non-Profits 2015 Recipients Receive Double the Funding – Includes 10 First-time Recipients;New Board Leadership Announced From STAFF REPORTS Published on Tuesday, May 19, 2015 | 11:28 am faithfernandez More » ShareTweetShare on Google+Pin on PinterestSend with WhatsApp,Donald CommunityPCC- COMMUNITYVirtual Schools PasadenaHomes Solve Community/Gov/Pub SafetyPasadena Public WorksPASADENA EVENTS & ACTIVITIES CALENDARClick here for Movie Showtimes Pasadena’s ‘626 Day’ Aims to Celebrate City, Boost Local Economy Pasadena Will Allow Vaccinated People to Go Without Masks in Most Settings Starting on Tuesday Home of the Week: Unique Pasadena Home Located on Madeline Drive, Pasadena Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked * Business News Top of the News More Cool Stuff Community News Make a comment The Tournament of Roses Foundation has announced 2015 grant awards totaling $200,000 presented to 42 civic, educational and cultural organizations in the San Gabriel Valley. Ten of the 42 organizations funded are first-time grant recipients. These organizations are: About Productions, American Composers Forum of Los Angeles, Jericho Road Pasadena, Life Skills FORE Pasadena Youth, Inc., Mark Keppel High School Drama Boosters, Marshall Music Boosters Inc., Monrovia Wildcats Band Booster Club, Pasadena Girls Softball Association, Pasadena High School Instrumental Music Club, and The Pasadena Musical Theatre Program.Since its inception in 1983, the Tournament of Roses Foundation has funded more than $2.7 million in charitable contributions on behalf of the Tournament of Roses Association. The amount awarded in 2015 is $100,000 more than the amount funded in 2014 – a 100 percent increase. The Foundation assists charities in the Pasadena area by funding sports and recreation, visual and performing arts, and volunteer motivation and leadership development. These grants, ranging from $1,500 to $10,000 will help support new and ongoing programs benefiting children, teens, adults and seniors.The 2015 Tournament of Roses Foundation grant recipients are:In addition to the new grant recipients, the Tournament of Roses Foundation also announced the election of Ken Burrows, Mitchell Ing, and Robert Miller to the board of directors. These new members replace outgoing board members Gerald Freeny, Brian James and Mike Ward who provided a combined nine years of outstanding service and leadership. The Foundation board also elected a new president and officers: Katherine Martinez Kleine, president; Nancy Neal Davis, vice president; Maxine Harris, treasurer; and Norma Garcia Kachigian, secretary. Members continuing to serve on the Foundation Board are Shannon Boalt, Laura Farber, Rick Jackson, Charlie Martinson, Karen Palmersheim, and Jerri Price-Gaines.The Tournament of Roses Foundation is a tax exempt, non-profit public benefit corporation established to receive and manage contributions from the Pasadena Tournament of Roses Association, its supporters and the general public. The 13-member board of directors is comprised of community leaders and Tournament members, appointed by the Pasadena Tournament of Roses Association. Organizations or individuals interested in making a contribution or inquiring about the grants process should contact the Foundation by calling (626) 449-4100 or visiting the Tournament of Roses website at www.tournamentofroses.com/foundation.About the Tournament of Roses®The Tournament of Roses is a volunteer organization that annually hosts the Rose Parade®, the Rose Bowl Game® and a variety of associated events. Nine hundred thirty-five volunteer members act as ambassadors of the organization and contribute upwards of 80,000 hours of manpower each year. The 127th Rose Parade presented by Honda and themed “Find Your Adventure,” will take place Friday, January 1, 2016, followed by the 102nd Rose Bowl Game presented by Northwestern Mutual. Learn more at www.tournamentofroses.com and on Facebook, Twitter, Instagram and YouTube. HerbeautyInstall These Measures To Keep Your Household Safe From Covid19HerbeautyHerbeautyHerbeauty8 Celebrities People Don’t Love AnymoreHerbeautyHerbeautyHerbeauty9 Of The Best Family Friendly Dog BreedsHerbeautyHerbeautyHerbeautyA Mental Health Chatbot Which Helps People With DepressionHerbeautyHerbeautyHerbeautyKeep Your Skin Flawless With These Indian Beauty RemediesHerbeautyHerbeautyHerbeauty10 Of The Most Notorious Female Spies In HistoryHerbeautyHerbeauty Name (required) Mail (required) (not be published) Website Community News Get our daily Pasadena newspaper in your email box. Free.Get all the latest Pasadena news, more than 10 fresh stories daily, 7 days a week at 7 a.m. First Heatwave Expected Next Week 3 recommended0 commentsShareShareTweetSharePin it Subscribe
Numbers of Limerick hospital group staff sidelined by COVID-19 reduces by 162 in past 7 days Previous articleGirls rescued from under Limerick bridgeNext articleFour arrested in Operation Thor crackdown Staff Reporterhttp://www.limerickpost.ie Management at most overcrowded and most COVID-hit hospital apologise to patients ‘waiting over 100 hours’ for a bed Advertisement NewsHealthStrict visitor restrictions remain at University Hospital LimerickBy Staff Reporter – April 4, 2018 1304 53 patients waiting for beds at UHL Linkedin University Hospital LimerickStrict visitor restrictions remain in place at University Hospital Limerick.Restrictions were initially put in place in late December following an increase in seasonal influenza.The restrictions remain in force as a precaution as the hospital manages a small number of norovirus and other notifiable cases.Sign up for the weekly Limerick Post newsletter Sign Up Until further notice, it is necessary to restrict visitors to one person per patient only and to remind members of the public that visiting hours are from 2pm to 4pm and from 6pm to 9pm only and are to be strictly adhered to. This applies to adult and paediatric patients alike and parents visiting children are advised not to bring siblings on visits.We regret any inconvenience caused to patients and relatives by these necessary measures, which are being taken in the interests of patient care.More about health here. TAGSpatientrelativesrestrictionsuniversity hospital limerick Email WhatsApp Twitter Updated statement on service disruptions UL Hospitals Group RELATED ARTICLESMORE FROM AUTHOR 64 patients waiting for beds in UHL Print Facebook University Hospital Limerick Christmas Gift appeal for children in Direct Provision
As Republican Congressional hopeful Jackie Walorski eyes Indiana’s Second District’s seat in the House of Representatives, she said she hopes to bring bipartisanship to a legislature too strongly divided across aisles. “Congress has a record low approval rating due to partisan gridlock and runaway spending that has resulted in an unproductive Congress,” Walorski said. “If I am elected, I will bring Hoosier common sense to Washington.” With the election depending on the votes of Americans without party affiliations, Walorski said in an email interview this week that her team has made a strong effort to appeal to voters who do not self-identify as Republican. “We have built an incredible grassroots team in the Second District, supported by a wide spectrum of Hoosier voters,” she said. “On the campaign trail, we continually hear from voters about their concerns with the direction our country is going. This election is not about political parties, it’s about sending an independent voice to Washington to work on bipartisan solutions to get us back on track.” Walorski said she considers the deficit and other economic issues to be of the utmost importance in this year’s election. “I will work to reduce our $16 trillion [national] debt by supporting a balanced budget amendment and reducing government spending,” she said. “The federal government must learn to live within its means, just like common sense Hoosiers.” Walorski said she will bring the same fiscal policies that helped Indiana restore its financial health while she served as a state representative from 2004 to 2011. “We did this in Indiana by working together to balance the budget, reduce wasteful spending and passing pro-business legislation,” she said. “Indiana successfully restored our AAA-bond rating, turned a deficit into a surplus and is now considered one of the best Midwest states to start a business. “I believe we can use this model in Congress to pass meaningful legislation to get our country back on track,” she said. For students at Notre Dame and across the country, Walorski said job growth and employment are the most important issues. “Many college graduates have difficulty finding a job when they graduate due to our sluggish economy,” she said. “With more jobs, college students are able to quickly enter the workforce and begin building their professional careers. It also makes it easier for students to start paying off their loans.” Indiana college students, she said, have been integral to her campaign. “I’m grateful that our campaign has received support from many local schools and universities, including Notre Dame,” she said. “Many students have volunteered to intern, make phone calls, go door-to-door and attend events for our campaign.” Engaging local politics is an important part of being an informed young voter, she said. “I think it is important for young people to engage themselves with the real issues facing our country,” she said. “All voters should learn about the platform of their local candidates and understand how their representation may affect their futures on all issues.”
Ajax defender Blind: We pulled the wool over Chelsea’s eyesby Paul Vegas4 days agoSend to a friendShare the loveAjax weren’t at their best for watching Chelsea spies after edging past bottom-placed RKC Waalwijk on Saturday.Ajax sneaked a 2-1 away win to go three points clear at the top of the Dutch league as rivals PSV Eindhoven crashed to a 3-0 defeat at Utrecht but Daley Blind said his side got away with a fortunate victory just days before they host Chelsea in the Champions League on Wednesday.“I think it was our worst match in the last two years,” the 29-year-old defender told Dutch television. “We were lucky to come away with the win. We weren’t well organised and we certainly didn’t play with any sharpness.”“They played a long-ball game but nothing fell for us. It was one of those days where we had to grind out a win,” added the former Manchester United player.”It was nice to win this kind of horribly bad game. That’s what it’s about. But we must look at ourselves and ensure this can never happen again.“But hopefully we pulled the wool over Chelsea’s eyes. If we did that then we achieved our mission.” About the authorPaul VegasShare the loveHave your say
COLUMBIA, SC – NOVEMBER 23: Head coach Steve Spurrier of the South Carolina Gamecocks watches on during their game against the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at Williams-Brice Stadium on November 23, 2013 in Columbia, South Carolina. (Photo by Streeter Lecka/Getty Images) Twitter/@ESPNChiBearsJon Hoke has been an NFL assistant since 2002. His last stint in college was as Florida defensive coordinator under Steve Spurrier from 1999-2001, and now the Head Ball Coach is trying to reel his former assistant back to the SEC, according to reports.South Carolina head coach Steve Spurrier is trying to hire Chicago Bears defensive backs coach Jon Hoke to lead the Gamecocks defense next season, according to multiple sources. This would be the third time Spurrier, since arriving at South Carolina, has attempted to lure Hoke back to the college game. Hoke was Spurrier’s defensive coordinator at Florida from 1999-2001 and has coached in the NFL with the Houston Texans and Chicago Bears ever since. Spurrier reached out to Hoke upon arriving in Columbia in 2004 (hired John Thompson) and in 2007 (hired Brian VanGorder and ultimately Ellis Johnson).Hoke, who is the older brother of former Michigan head coach Brady Hoke, helped Spurrier and Florida win 29 games during his three seasons in Gainesville.[WISTV]
Wall Street capped a day of volatile trading with a late-afternoon buying spree that sent U.S. stock indexes to a mostly higher finish Friday.Despite the 11th-hour rally, the benchmark S&P 500 index ended with its second weekly loss in four weeks.Gains in health care and energy companies powered the market higher.The market got a brief boost after President Donald Trump expressed optimism that the U.S. and China will reach a deal to resolve their costly trade dispute. The remarks came as representatives of both countries have resumed talks.Large retailers and media and communications companies were the laggards.“The market and market participants are more unsettled now than they have been in years,” said Tom Martin, senior portfolio manager with Globalt Investments. “We’re that much further on in the cycle and you have these tariffs and trade wars that are really still in the very early stages.”The S&P 500 index rose 6.07 points, or 0.2 per cent, to 2,736.27. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 123.95 points, or 0.5 per cent, to 25,413.22. The Nasdaq composite slid 11.16 points, or 0.2 per cent, to 7,247.87. The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies picked up 3.41 points, or 0.2 per cent, to $1,527.53.The S&P 500, which finished higher for the second straight day, ended the week with a loss of 1.6 per cent.Like much of this week, the market spent much of Friday veering between bouts of listless trading and modest swings.“Investors are really trying to figure out how they want to be positioned based on the incoming information,” Martin said. “It’s not surprising to me that at this time of year, given what we’ve seen, that we’re getting the intraday moves we’re getting.”One of the day’s market swings came as traders reacted to Trump’s remarks on trade.At the White House, speaking about the lingering trade dispute, the president said he hoped the U.S. could make a deal with China.“I think a deal will be made,” Trump said. “We’ll find out very soon.”Stocks snapped higher after the remarks were reported, with the Dow briefly jumping as much as 220 points, before pulling back to about where they were beforehand.Soybean futures spiked after Trump’s comments. Soybean prices have fallen sharply since this Spring as the trade dispute with China led to a steep drop in China’s purchases of U.S. soybeans. Soybean futures jumped from $8.83 to $8.92 a bushel following the comments. They had traded as high as $10.78 a bushel in early March.The Trump administration has imposed a 10 per cent tariff on $200 billion of Chinese goods over complaints Beijing steals or pressures foreign companies to hand over technology as the price of market access. That tariff is set to rise to 25 per cent in January. Another $50 billion of Chinese goods already is subject to 25 per cent duties. Beijing has responded with penalty duties on $110 billion of American goods.Washington and Beijing resumed talks over their spiraling trade dispute this week ahead of a meeting between President Xi Jinping and Trump, China’s Commerce Ministry said Thursday.Health care stocks were among the biggest gainers Friday. Universal Health Services gained 3.9 per cent to $133.Troubled California power provider PG&E surged 37.5 per cent to $24.40 after the president of the utility’s state regulator said it was essential for a power company to have the financial strength to operate safely. The remark late Thursday by California Public Utilities Commission President Michael Picker appeared to reassure investors concerned the company may face a torrent of costs related to the devastating wildfire in Northern California. There’s been speculation that PG&E’s equipment may have set off the blaze, which started Nov. 8 and has killed at least 56 people.Chipmaker Nvidia led a sell-off in technology stocks. The company plunged 18.8 per cent to $164.43 after saying it had a large number of unsold chips because of a big drop in mining of cryptocurrencies.Retailers also weighed on the market. Nordstrom cratered 13.7 per cent to $50.93 after the department store issued weak guidance for the full year. That disappointing outlook overshadowed the company’s third-quarter results, which topped Wall Street’s estimates.Williams-Sonoma tumbled 11.2 per cent to $53.76 after the cookware seller said products were delayed because of shipping congestion out of China ahead of U.S. tariffs.The price of U.S. crude oil finished flat after a two-day winning streak. Benchmark U.S. crude oil was unchanged at $56.46 a barrel in New York. Brent crude, used to price international oils, gained 0.2 per cent to $66.76 a barrel in London. Despite the latest uptick, U.S. crude oil is still down about 13 per cent for the month.The pickup in oil prices helped lift energy stocks. Helmerich & Payne rose 4.2 per cent to $62.59.In other energy trading, heating oil held steady to $2.07 a gallon and wholesale gasoline jumped 1.3 per cent to $1.58 a gallon.Natural gas, which spiked earlier this week amid forecasts calling for a cold snap across much of the Northeast and South, continued to climb Friday, adding 5.8 per cent to $4.27 per 1,000 cubic feet. It is now up around 32 per cent this month.Bond prices rose. The 10-year Treasury fell to 3.07 per cent from 3.11 per cent late Thursday.The dollar fell to 112.83 yen from 113.58 yen on Thursday. The euro strengthened to $1.1412 from $1.1348. The pound rose to $1.2831 from $1.2791.The price of gold rose 0.7 per cent to $1,223 an ounce. Silver gained 0.8 per cent to $14.38 an ounce. Copper climbed 1.9 per cent to $2.80 a pound.Major European stock indexes closed lower as trade tensions and political risks surrounding Britain’s exit from the European Union kept investors cautious. Germany’s DAX lost 0.1 per cent and France’s CAC slid 0.2 per cent. Britain’s FTSE 100 gave up 0.3 per cent.In Asia, Japan’s Nikkei 225 index lost 0.6 per cent while the Hang Seng in Hong Kong added 0.3 per cent. South Korea’s Kospi rose 0.2 per cent.Alex Veiga, The Associated Press
The Trans Mountain expansion – recently bought by Canada for $4.5 billion – doesn’t only affect Canadian waters or land. The project will increase tanker traffic seven-fold in the Salish Sea, which borders British Columbia and Washington, and Kinder Morgan has noted the expansion potential of a connected 111-kilometre pipeline that runs from B.C.’s Fraser Valley to Washington refineries.Many Indigenous activists trace their roots to both sides of the border. George-Parker’s father is from North Vancouver’s Tsleil-Waututh Nation and his mother is from Washington’s Tulalip Tribes. He travels to B.C. often and in April disrupted a speech by Prime Minister Justin Trudeau in Vancouver.“Our people never had borders,” he said. “We still try not to let borders separate us.”The 2014 shooting at Marysville Pilchuck High School deeply affected George-Parker, now 21. He found it outrageous that governments subsidize big business while underfunding education and counselling for young people. Canada’s purchase of Trans Mountain is the latest example of wasted government money, he said.Washington Gov. Jay Inslee has criticized Trudeau’s government for buying the pipeline project, calling it a “major step backward” in the climate change fight.Even though Inslee opposes the expansion, some protesters in his state don’t feel supported. Police arrested Janene Hampton in January and charged her with criminal trespassing after she and several other Indigenous women camped on the state capitol lawn to protest resource projects including Trans Mountain. VANCOUVER, B.C. – Cedar George-Parker remembers the moment he decided to devote his life to defending Indigenous people and their traditional territories. It was the one-year anniversary of a shooting at his high school that killed four of his classmates in Marysville, Wash.“I dropped to my knees and I said, ‘I’m going to make a change in the world,’” he recalled.George-Parker is among the Indigenous protesters in Washington state promising to fight the Trans Mountain pipeline expansion. Activists call the project the Standing Rock of the north, comparing it to the fierce Standing Rock Sioux protests that stalled the Dakota Access Pipeline for months. Hampton also camped at the Standing Rock protest for months. She joined the movement against pipelines to protect the water, said Hampton, a member of the Colville Okanagan Tribe, which has traditional territories spanning B.C.’s southern Interior to northeast Washington.“One of the big fights for us as Aboriginal people is the whales,” she said, adding they use sonar, and existing vessel noise has already disrupted their communication.Canada’s $1.5-billion oceans protection plan includes $7.2 million to increase the use of technologies that monitor underwater noise. It has also announced other steps to support the recovery of the endangered southern resident killer whale population, which lives in B.C. and Washington waters.The Canadian government often touts its oceans protection plan as “world-leading,” but as recently as May 2017, officials in Washington raised questions about Canada’s preparedness for an oil spill. Washington required Kinder Morgan to conduct a worst-case scenario exercise. The company simulated a spill of 3,024 barrels of heavy synthetic crude oil in the Sumas River, which runs from B.C.’s Fraser Valley to Whatcom County, Wash.In a report following the exercise, state ecology department staff wrote that Kinder Morgan brought together a skilled spill management team including staff from U.S., Canadian, B.C. and Washington government agencies. But the report also said non-floating oil tactics planned on the Washington side were not planned on the B.C. side, and Canada did not discuss the type of equipment it would use to clean up a major spill.The exercise was conducted to meet U.S. regulatory requirements and was not focused on the Canadian response, said James Stevenson, a spokesman for the National Energy Board. A joint U.S.-Canadian plan to respond to cross-border spills exists but was not activated during the May 2017 exercise, he said.Canada’s purchase of the project includes the Puget Sound pipeline, a 111-kilometre line that diverts from the existing Trans Mountain pipeline in B.C. and carries oil to four Washington refineries. Environmental groups now fear an expansion to the Puget Sound line, citing 2017 financial disclosure documents in which Kinder Morgan touted the potential for increasing capacity.“That is definitely a big concern,” said Rebecca Ponzio, campaign director for Stand Up to Oil, a coalition of U.S. groups that oppose new oil terminals and coastal exports.Canada’s Department of Finance did not directly answer a question about whether it would consider expanding the Washington line, but it said it planned to follow Kinder Morgan’s 2018 construction schedule for the expansion of the pipeline in B.C. and Alberta.Trans Mountain, a subsidiary of Kinder Morgan, said market conditions dictate how much crude oil is transported through the Puget Sound pipeline. While the line could be expanded, the company expects the majority of the expansion capacity from the Trans Mountain project will be for export from a marine terminal in Burnaby, B.C.But protesters won’t allow construction on the expansion to proceed without a fight.“That pipeline will never go through,” said Paul Wagner, a member of the Saanich First Nation who lives in Redmond, Wash., and goes by the traditional name Cheoketen.“The people are rising up.”By Laura KaneTHE CANADIAN PRESS
FORT ST. JOHN, B.C. – Registration for the Fort St. John Hospital Foundation’s Bluey Day is set to start on March 4, 2019.The Hospital invites individuals to “Be Brave and Shave” to show your support for cancer patients, survivors, and remember those lost to cancer, by participating in the 20th Annual Bluey Day.Participants in this annual event will spend the next few months growing their hair and collecting pledges from the community to have their head/facial hair shaved on Bluey Day. The 20th Annual Bluey Day will be held on May 25, 2019 at the B.C. Ambulance Building on 96th Street.Registration for Bluey Day starts March 4. You can register through the Hospital Foundation’s website or by calling 250-261-7564. The Hospital Foundation invites participants to get creative, to inspire the community, to donate to the campaign. Participants can grow their hair out as long as possible, dye it a crazy colour, put it in a whacky style or even decorate their beards.Hospital Foundation asks Bluey Day participants to raise a minimum of $500.According to the Foundation, donations will be allocated to the Cancer Diagnostic and Treatment Fund. The funds will go towards the purchasing of new equipment to help with the diagnosis and treatment of patients with cancer.Executive Director, Niki Hedges, says the Foundation is excited to host Bluey Day and that there will be some new additions to this year’s event.“We are excited about hosting the 20th Annual Bluey Day and are planning somenew additions to the event. There will be henna art at the event as well as a beardgrowing competition to be held the evening before Bluey Days at Beard’sBrewing Co.”The Foundation’s first Bluey Day was held in 1998 and through the generosity ofdonors, over $1.8 million has been raised for cancer diagnostic, treatment, careand equipment.
Casablanca – Everyone remembers the unprecedented outrage that the anti-Islamic documentary “Innocence of Islam” had caused among Muslims across the world. On Wednesday, a U.S. appeals court ordered Google Inc to remove the documentary from YouTube.According to Haaretz, the Court turned down Google’s assertion that removing “Innocence of Islam” from YouTube would be unconstitutional. Cindy Lee Garcia, the plaintiff and one of the actors in the documentary, had objected to the film after she discovered that a clip she had shot for a different film was included in the anti-Islamic documentary. In the clip, Garcia appears asking, “Is your Mohammed a child molester?”However, Google did not accept the Court’s decision and stated that “we strongly disagree with this ruling and will fight it.”“Ordering YouTube and Google to take down the film was the right thing to do,” Garcia’s lawyer, Cris Armenta, stated after hearing the Court’s verdict.Google claimed that while Garcia could have legal claims against the film director, she should not have won a copyright case against Google. The giant company also claimed that the video should not be removed because it had become part of public debate.Before resorting to the 9th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals, Garcia’s claim for copyright was addressed in a lower court, where her request to have the documentary removed from YouTube was rejected.The documentary depicted the Prophet Mohmmaed as a fool and a sexually neurotic individual.© Morocco World News. All Rights Reserved. This material may not be published, rewritten or redistributed
Not all the numbers work out so neatly, however. Another bin contains all those favorites with win probabilities in the 50s (anywhere from 50.0 percent to 59.9 percent). These teams were supposed to win about 55 percent of the time. In fact, they’ve won 38 of 63 games, or 60.3 percent of the time. So the teams performed a little better than expected in these games.By contrast, teams with win probabilities in the 60s (from 60.0 percent to 69.9 percent) have won 35 of their 60 games, or 58.3 percent. That’s a bit worse than expected.What’s going on here? How are the somewhat heavier favorites, with win probabilities in the 60s, performing worse than those teams whose win probabilities were in the 50s? Are the heavier favorites getting cocky? Is there something wrong with the model?Probably not. Instead, these differences are well within the ranges that might result from random chance. This is easier to explain visually, as in the following graphic, which portrays the results of games from each bin along with their confidence intervals. Our NCAA tournament forecasts are probabilistic. You could say that FiveThirtyEight is “calling” for Michigan State to defeat Virginia on Friday, but it isn’t much of a call. Our model gives Michigan State a 50.7 percent chance of winning, and Virginia a 49.3 percent chance. For all intents and purposes, it’s a toss-up.Other times, of course, one team has a much clearer edge. Duke was a 92.9 percent favorite against Mercer last week, but Mercer won.Still, upsets like these are supposed to happen some of the time. The question in evaluating a probabilistic forecast is whether the underdogs are winning substantially more or less often than expected. The technical term for this is calibration. But you might think of it more as truth in advertising. Over the long run, out of all the times when we say a team is a 75 percent favorite, is it really winning about 75 percent of the time?FiveThirtyEight’s NCAA tournament projections have been published each year since 2011. The formula has changed very little over that period. (The only substantive change has been adding a fifth computer power rating, ESPN’s Basketball Power Index, this season.) That gives us a reasonable baseline for evaluation: a total of 254 games, counting the 52 played so far this year. (These totals include “play-in” games.)You can find a file containing our past predictions here. It’s important to emphasize that these predictions were published at The New York Times or ESPN versions of FiveThirtyEight in advance of each game — these are actual predictions and not hindcasts.Overall, FiveThirtyEight’s favorite won 70.0 percent of the time. How often was the favorite supposed to win? According to our model, 72.1 percent of the time. So at a macro level, the forecasts have been pretty well calibrated (70.0 percent is well within the 95 percent confidence interval drawn by simulating the results 100,000 times).But that doesn’t tell us everything. It’s also important that the heavier favorites, like Duke in its game against Mercer, win more often than the slim favorites, like Michigan State against Virginia.To evaluate this, we can break the 254 games down into bins. The most intuitive way is to use five bins based on the first digit of the favorite’s win probability. For example, one bin contains the 40 games in which the favorite’s win probability was somewhere in the 90s (that is, anywhere from 90.0 percent to 99.99999 percent; in practice, the heaviest favorite in our database is Ohio State, which had a 99.7 percent chance of beating the University of Texas at San Antonio in 2011.)We’d expect the favorite to win about 95 percent of these games. In fact, the favorite won 38 out of 40, or exactly 95 percent of the time. The exceptions were Duke this year and Missouri in 2012, which lost to Norfolk State despite being a 97.2 percent favorite. Each result is within its respective confidence interval. The calibration is not perfect. But the deviations from perfect calibration are not statistically significant. We encourage you to check our work, and let us know if you think there’s a better way to judge our results. But overall, the tournament’s results have been reasonably true to the FiveThirtyEight probabilities. Just don’t tell that to your buddy who had Duke winning it all this year.Correction: Speaking of checking our work: a reader, D.K., discovered that our database incorrectly listed Kentucky as the winner of its 2011 national semifinal against Connecticut. The chart, table and text have now been changed to reflect the correct result. We appreciate D.K.’s assistance and apologize for the error.