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first_imgEntrepreneur, author and adventurer Debra Searle launched the 2012 Enterprising Donegal Business Week yesterday to a capacity crowd in the Regional Cultural Centre, Letterkenny.Over 800 local businesses are booked to attend events during Business Week. Organised by Donegal County Enterprise Board, the aim of the series of seminars and workshops is to inspire and motivate people to consider starting their own business and to provide a learning and networking forum for those already in business. Running until Friday 9th March, in venues across the county, topics range from digital marketing to a workshop on wellbeing.Guest speaker Debra Searle first hit the headlines when she single-handedly rowed 3,000 miles across the Atlantic.In an epic 3 ½ month journey she battled 30 foot waves, sharks and force 8 gales in a 23 foot plywood boat before reaching her destination. Since then she has completed the Yukon River Quest and sailed around the Antarctic as well as launching two companies.Speaking at the launch, Debra’s advice to anyone starting a business today was that “You just have to choose the right attitude. Choose the right attitude and anything is possible” Other high profile speakers scheduled for the week include media commentator Dr. Maureen Gaffney, social media guru Krishna De and Gerry Duffy, Irish winner of the 2011 UK Ironman contest.“There is a great mix of guests and some brilliant events this year”, said Michael Tunney, Chief Executive of Donegal County Enterprise Board.“There are seminars covering everything from how to drive sales with digital marketing to a workshop on generating new business ideas. There should be something for everyone in business or those who are thinking of starting a business”Events continue on Wednesday when two of Ireland’s leading digital marketing experts, Krisha De and Gareth Dunlop, will host a workshop and panel discussion on website design and online strategy for small businesses.On Thursday morning the focus will turn to the “Student Enterprise Awards 2012” in the Mount Errigal hotel Letterkenny. There will also be seminars on controlling cashflow, marketing your business and lean manufacturing.One of the biggest events take place on the morning of Friday 9th, when leading broadcaster and academic Dr. Maureen Gaffney headlines a seminar on “Maximizing Your Business Potential Through Wellbeing”. Dr. Gaffney is a regular contributor to the Vincent Browne show, appears frequently on RTE television and her most recent book, “Flourishing”, reached number 1 in the Irish best-seller list. She will be joined by Gerry Duffy, Irish tri-athlete and author, and Claire Burge, founder of GetOrganized.Enterprise Week will wrap up on Friday evening with a “Cook Off” between TDs Pádraig MacLochlainn and Charlie McConalogue hosted by the Food Coast, Donegal’s good food initiative and Community Chef Brian McDermott who will also provide a cookery demonstration showing how to prepare a classic fish dish using local ingredients.For further information about Enterprising Donegal Business Week 2012 please contact Celine Carroll, Donegal County Enterprise Board on 074 9160735 or email [email protected] or visit the Donegal County Enterprise Board website at www.donegalenterprise.ie. County and City Enterprise Boards are funded by the Irish Government and co-funded by the European Union under the EU Structural Funds 2007 – 2013.MORE THAN 800 LOCAL BUSINESSES TO ATTEND BUMPER DONEGAL BUSINESS WEEK was last modified: March 6th, 2012 by StephenShare this:Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window)Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window)Click to share on LinkedIn (Opens in new window)Click to share on Reddit (Opens in new window)Click to share on Pocket (Opens in new window)Click to share on Telegram (Opens in new window)Click to share on WhatsApp (Opens in new window)Click to share on Skype (Opens in new window)Click to print (Opens in new window)last_img read more

Support Dairy Farmers & Your Community with the #10GallonChallenge

first_imgShare Facebook Twitter Google + LinkedIn Pinterest By Ty Higgins, Ohio Ag NetAs a farm broadcaster, I sometimes feel helpless as I report on all of the challenges our farmers across the country are facing these days. Among those struggling the most are dairy farmers. Because of major issues beyond their control, most dairies will find it impossible to make a profit this year. I realized there is something we all can do to help that will mooove milk and help others around our community in the process. I hope you will join me in taking the #10GallonChallenge!last_img

Ram Vilas Paswan tries to come out of Lalu’s shadow

first_imgThe Opposition parties in Bihar appear to be in introspection mode after their crushing defeat in the assembly polls. Reduced to a minuscule presence in the legislature, their leaders are already looking into their political future.In a significant development, the Lok Janshakti Party (LJP) leaders recently announced that the party would project its national president Ram Vilas Paswan as the future chief ministerial candidate of the state.Their announcement came only a day after Paswan visited a slum area in the state capital last week, where he promised to build concrete houses for all the Dalit families if he became the chief minister “with their blessings”. This is the first time his partymen have tried to project him as the CM candidate.In the last assembly election, the LJP and its pre-poll ally Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) had projected Lalu Prasad for the top job. The LJP had presented Paswan’s younger brother Pashupati Kumar Paras as its deputy chief minister candidate. It was obvious that Paswan would steer clear of state-level politics and concentrate on national politics.Even though his party remains an ally of Lalu’s RJD, his supporters have started saying that the projection of a leader of Paswan’s stature could turn the tide in their favour in the next polls.The next assembly elections are a good four years away but the LJP’s stand is politically significant.After its poll debacle, the majority of LJP workers believed that the projection of Lalu as the chief ministerial candidate of their alliance did not go down well with the voters. The LJP won only three seats out of the 75 that it contested. Citing the performance of the party in the previous assembly elections, its supporters had also advocated going solo in the polls.advertisementPolitical pundits had expected the RJD and the LJP to go their separate ways after the poll rout but Paswan and Lalu had put up a united front.One of the immediate reasons for it was Paswan’s election to the Rajya Sabha. It was because of Lalu’s support that Paswan was able to return to Parliament after his defeat in the Lok Sabha election in 2009. Therefore, he had a personal reason to swear by their alliance.However, the cracks have been visible in the past few months.Both the leaders chose to launch separate agitations against the Nitish government. Paswan took the lead in spearheading the agitation against the government on various issues, ranging from the firing in Forbesganj on Muslims to Nitish Kumar’s demand for special status to Bihar.He was also the first to reach the Bhajanpura village near Forbesganj where the police firing had taken the lives of five persons last June. But Lalu decided to undertake a march to the same village three months later.There has been no apparent coordination between the RJD and the LJP at the grassroots level over the years. In fact, they have been blaming each other for the defeat of their respective parties in the polls.Against this background, the LJP leaders’ announcement to project Paswan as their CM candidate assumes political significance.But will Lalu be ready to make way for Paswan? He is unlikely to give up his claim also because his party has had a bigger presence in the state over the years.The RJD appears to be in no hurry to respond to the LJP’s announcement but it may well be the beginning of the end of their honeymoon that did not provide any sweet memory to either partner in the past three years of collaboration. ===Honey where did you hide the money? The Bihar government has launched a massive drive against corruption with vigilance bureau officials arresting more than 400 public servants.But the campaign seems to have spurred some people to devise new methods for seeking bribes. The Central Bureau of Investigation ( CBI) recently arrested a bank manager at Dulhin Bazar near Patna who had demanded Rs 20,000 from a villager for issuing a Kisan Credit Card.The banker, however, never accepted bribes at his office. He used to tell people to hand over the money to his wife at home in Patna.The CBI sleuths had to work hard to find out where the bribe money was kept during a raid at his home recently. They finally recovered it from a mixer- grinder hidden by the manager’s wife in the kitchen. ===THE Bihar government is doing all it can to promote sports in the state.Not only has it started honouring players who excel in different sports, but is also providing government jobs to those who play at the national and international level. Chief minister Nitish Kumar said the government would give jobs this year to 150 players – five each in each discipline.advertisementLast year, the government had provided employment to 32 sportspersons. On the occasion of Sports Day on August 29, the government felicitated a total of 229 players, including Squadron Leader Nirupama Pandey, the first woman to scale Mount Everest, Rajesh Choudhary, Arjuna awardee in yachting and Chandrashekhar Choudhary, who had won a silver medal in shooting in the Commonwealth Games.===Good samaritan at Patna zoo Baidyanath Paswan, an animal-keeper at the Sanjay Gandhi Biological Garden in Patna, was doing his routine job when he heard a baby cry.He found an abandoned newborn baby girl wrapped in a white cloth thrown in a nearby bush. He immediately took the child to senior zoo officials. But before they could decide anything, Paswan sought their permission to keep her. The officials subsequently took the baby to the police station to inform them that Paswan was keen to adopt the abandoned baby.Much to Paswan’s joy, the police officials allowed him to keep the baby and asked him to follow the legal adoption process if no relative turned up to claim her.Paswan said his son did not have any child even after 12 years of marriage and the baby was a godsend for his family.His wife and daughter-in-law were ecstatic when he brought the baby home. Paswan said the girl had brought immense joy to his family.Meanwhile, the news about the abandoned child spread like wildfire in the town and at least four well-to-do families approached the Patna zoo administration to adopt the child. But Paswan had already become her doting granddad by then. ===PATNA’S Mahavir Mandir has now set up its own website to enable devotees to worship the deity online.They can have Lord Hanuman’s darshan and watch all the rituals. The website was inaugurated by deputy CM Sushil Kumar Modi, who said the online viewing of the deity would be of great help to the devotees residing in places far away. The temple earns very high revenue and much of its wealth goes towards charitable causes.last_img read more


first_imgA month of art, travel, food and much more.Art September 23-October 1: Photography festivalCAMERAunLIMITED is holding its first photo exhibition. Started by Ravi Dhingra, this group encourages upcoming photographers. Two other artists will also display their photographs-Anwita Sarin who is a textile designer and Anubhav Das, a photographer. While Dhingra’s,A month of art, travel, food and much more.ArtSeptember 23-October 1: Photography festivalCAMERAunLIMITED is holding its first photo exhibition. Started by Ravi Dhingra, this group encourages upcoming photographers. Two other artists will also display their photographs-Anwita Sarin who is a textile designer and Anubhav Das, a photographer. While Dhingra’s and Das’s work primarily highlight monks and monastries, Sarin has focused on textiles. At Creativity Art Gallery 29, Hauz Khas Village Timing 11am to 7:30 pmSeptember 5 – 30: Tribal artCatch a glimpse of tribal art at Dots and Dashes-The Best of Jangarh Kalam, an exhibition of Gond tribal paintings. Works of various Gond painters who have different styles- some draw circles, while some draw lines, some use myriad colours, while others prefer black and white-will be on display. At Must Art Gallery, F-213 B, first floor, Lado Sarai. Tel 9650477072 Timing 10 am to 7 pmAugust 28 – October 26Home Spun takes off from the idea that home is both a place and state of mind, locational and emotional. Some of the artists whose works are being showcased as part of this exhibition are Subodh Gupta, Sakshi Gupta, and Zarina Hashm. At Sirpur House, Plot 39, Sector-44, behind Epicentre (Apparel House),Gurgaon Tel 0124 48881111Timing 11 am to 8 pmOctober 1 – 7: Holy connectionExhibition of a series of paintings in both traditional and contemporary art by Payal Bahl. She has captured Ganesha in various moods-playing guitar, flute, tabla, dancing during sunset, and riding an elephant. At Experimental Art Gallery, India Habitat Centre Tel 2468 2001August 27 – September 17: (A)Morning Show, a first-of-its-kind exhibition of ‘adult’ Hindi movie posters. At W+K Exp, Triveni Complex, Sheikh Sarai Phase I. Tel 4600959.TraveladvertisementOctober 1 – 8: Girly tripTrip on the archaelogical miracles, countless monastries and churches, plenty of sports and beaches and vivid nightlife of Greece with Women on Clouds, a travel network for women. WOC is working a trip to Greece for seven nights. It will include a day tour of Athens, Delos excursion, Mykonos and Santorini. For more details log on to their website www.womenonclouds.comTheatreSeptember 28-October 24: Myths, etceteraShriram Bharatiya Kala Kendra presents its 54th year of Ramlila. The Kendra’s Ramayana is billed as ‘education through entertainment’ where tradition presents mythology in a contemporary context. Tickets are priced at Rs 500, Rs 300, Rs 200 and Rs 100 At Kamani Auditorium Tel 43503333 /23386428/ 29 Timing 6:30 pm to 9:15pmFood Till September 27: World on a platterGet a sampler of tapas, mezze, izakaya, and mezedes cuisine on your plates. Feast on sheesh tauq, crab otak otak, sugarcane prawns sweet chilli and basil reduction, tossed artichokes and bell peppers in honey pepper, Vietnamese rice paper rolls and more with your chilled beer bucket. At Tapas World, 22, Defence Colony Market Tel 46108595September 17-October 3: Ja, ji!Enjoy a decidedly un-German Oktoberfest with mouth watering treats like pizza di pollo (pizza with grilled chicken and herbs) and even kali mirch mutton skewers. There is a wide range of beer, red and white wines to help wash down your food. At Urban Pind, N-4, N Block Market, Greater Kailash I Tel 9818805909September 17 – October 10Savour Oktoberfest staples- sauerkraut burger, sauerkraut lamb burger, German hot potato salad, German fried chicken with fried eggs, beer bread and sausages cooked in beer, steckerlfisch- grilled fish on a stick, black forest home fries-and Bauernfrhstck, the Farmer’s breakfast. At Cocoa by Belgique, Select CITYWALK, Saket andPacific Mall, Rajouri Garden. Tel 42658279Till September 11: Family timeCelebrate Grandparents Day with Ek sham dada dadi, nana nani ke naam. At Hang out, 3rd floor, Select CITYWALK, Saket Tel 9560700811Till September 18: Kebab-e-KhasTry delicacies of the North West Frontier Province at Khyber se Karachi Tak. Pick from chappli kebab, seekh kebab, shashleek, baluchi sajji chicken, and Khyber karhai chicken. At Caraway, The Grand Hotel, Vasant Kunj. Tel 26771234last_img read more

India vs England: Buttler wants to learn from ‘immensely talented’ Kohli

first_imgEngland wicketkeeper-batsman Jos Buttler is hoping to draw inspiration from Virat Kohli and use the Indian Premier League experience to earn his maiden Test ton during the five-Test series against India starting on Wednesday.”Someone like Virat Kohli is an immensely talented guy but also watching him go about it you see that mentality of getting to the top. They seem to make the right decision a lot of the time. That is a skill,” he told reporters at The Oval.”The hunger to do it day in day out…that hunger really shines through in those top players.”Extra-motivated Kohli could prove to be dangerous for England: Graham GoochButtler played for the Rajasthan Royals during this year’s IPL scoring 548 runs at an average of 54.80 with the help of five half centuries including two unbeaten 90s.”The biggest thing I have learnt from the IPL is that it’s obvious what the best players do and why they are the best players and standouts,” said Buttler.Time for Virat Kohli to show he can score runs in England: Glenn McGrath”They just have a different mentality, a winning mentality in every game and the consistency to do that. I feel like I have learnt a hell of lot from watching guys train and go about their practice, ways they react to certain pressure moments in a game as well,” he added.Writing off Virat Kohli is the biggest mistake: Dale Steyn to India TodayRiding on his imperious form at the IPL, Buttler made a successful return to Test cricket, scoring back-to-back fifties, during the recent 1-1 drawn home campaign with Pakistan.advertisementEngland bowlers’ class will make the difference vs India: Dale SteynButtler’s highest Test score is 85 that he made on debut against India four years ago and he would look to reach his maiden three-digit figure in this series which begins with the first Test at Edgbaston on Wednesday.India vs England: Broad ready for challenging and exciting Test series”It is the ultimate aim, I would love to achieve that feat,” the 27-year-old said.”I have good memories against India but it is about reinforcing the enjoyment factor and the incredible opportunity to play Test cricket.England 2014 to England 2018: India make big strides in Test cricket”For those two games against Pakistan, I was not sure how it would go but I approached them in a great manner and it is important for me to do that going into this series.”Zaheer Khan backs India to dominate England in Test seriesAhead of the tour, Kohli, who had captained Moeen Ali and Chris Woakes at Royal Challengers Bangalore, said that the relations between the teams improved due to IPL.But Buttler believes all friendships will be “forgotten” on the field during the series.”There are a few guys I have played with. Naturally you have friendships with them but on the field they seem to be forgotten and everyone is competitive,””There is a lot more familiarity between the sides than there ever has been before. Not on the pitch but maybe on the training days and around the lunch room. Moeen played with Virat at RCB and [Yuzvendra] Chahal. I have played with Hardik Pandya at Mumbai so you are open to having a chat.”I am sure there will be moments in the Test series, especially on the field, when those things look like they have been forgotten. It will be highly competitive.”Buttler feels a Test series against India is almost as important as the Ashes.”Absolutely, it is a huge series. India are a fantastic team, in all conditions as well now. Australia is a huge series for England, but in this day and age India are not far behind,” he said.(With PTI inputs)last_img read more

NSWCCC Win 18’s Boys Title

first_imgRelated LinksBoys NYC final By BEN HARRISNew South Wales Combined Catholic Colleges (NSWCCC) took out the 18’s Boys division of the X-Blades National Youth Championships, but they had to work hard for it.NSWCCC, the runners-up in the last two championships, played their archrivals Queensland Secondary Schools Touch in the final.In 2010 and 2011 QSST had been the champions but this year it was NSWCCC who took the honours with a 9-8 victory.NSWCCC scored in the final stages but QSST had a chance to level the scores right on full-time but they could not convert.NSWCCC co-captain Dominic Field was a relieved player at full-time.“Going into it we were pretty nervous because QSST have knocked off some big teams coming into this grand final. “Even at half-time we were five-all and I was still nervous because we were like that last year and we went down by six.“It’s good that we finally came on top.“I’ve been in this team for three years and we have been beaten twice quite convincingly, so I’m cheering now.”QSST galloped out to a 3-0 lead in the first half but NSWCCC fought back to level the scores up at half-time.NSWCCC hit the lead for the first time in the match late in the second half when Player of the Final Matthew Arnold scored.Field soon made it 9-7 with his late touchdown.QSST scored with 90 seconds remaining and nearly stole the game on the stroke of full-time.NSWCCC’s Jed Ibbotson was named Player of the Series.In the Community Final, Central Queensland Bulls defeated South Queensland Sharks 8-5.In the Developing State Final, Western Tigers defeated Northern Territory 10-7.The overall champions of the X-Blades National Youth Championships were QSST.For more information on the X-Blades National Youth Championships, visit these websites: National Youth Championships – www.nyc.mytouchfooty.comTouch Football Australia – www.austouch.com.auTouch Football Australia’s YouTube channel – www.youtube.com/touchfootballausTwitter: www.twitter.com/touchfootyausFacebook: www.facebook.com/touchfootballaustralialast_img read more

3 days agoAtalanta coach Gasperini reveals special Guardiola gesture: It’d never happened

first_imgAtalanta coach Gasperini reveals special Guardiola gesture: It’d never happenedby Paul Vegas3 days agoSend to a friendShare the loveAtalanta coach Gian Piero Gasperini has revealed a special gesture he received from Pep Guardiola.Manchester City host the Oribici tonight in the Champions League.Gasperini said, “I must say that Guardiola is a very great person, beyond this, he made a gesture that had never happened to me before.”Eight years ago, when I left Inter he called me through Estiarte, with whom we had known each other since Pescara, and invited me to Barcelona to spend a few days with them. “For me it was an extraordinary gesture, of great sensitivity, because at that moment he gave me something beautiful. Also for this I respect him a lot. Having said that being here is beautiful, even if they are definitely dangerous…” About the authorPaul VegasShare the loveHave your saylast_img read more

Report: Steve Spurrier Attempting To Hire Jon Hoke As South Carolina Defensive Coordinator

first_imgSteve Spurrier watches on during game.COLUMBIA, SC – NOVEMBER 23: Head coach Steve Spurrier of the South Carolina Gamecocks watches on during their game against the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at Williams-Brice Stadium on November 23, 2013 in Columbia, South Carolina. (Photo by Streeter Lecka/Getty Images) Twitter/@ESPNChiBears Twitter/@ESPNChiBearsJon Hoke has been an NFL assistant since 2002. His last stint in college was as Florida defensive coordinator under Steve Spurrier from 1999-2001, and now the Head Ball Coach is trying to reel his former assistant back to the SEC, according to reports.South Carolina head coach Steve Spurrier is trying to hire Chicago Bears defensive backs coach Jon Hoke to lead the Gamecocks defense next season, according to multiple sources. This would be the third time Spurrier, since arriving at South Carolina, has attempted to lure Hoke back to the college game. Hoke was Spurrier’s defensive coordinator at Florida from 1999-2001 and has coached in the NFL with the Houston Texans and Chicago Bears ever since. Spurrier reached out to Hoke upon arriving in Columbia in 2004 (hired John Thompson) and in 2007 (hired Brian VanGorder and ultimately Ellis Johnson).Hoke, who is the older brother of former Michigan head coach Brady Hoke, helped Spurrier and Florida win 29 games during his three seasons in Gainesville.[WISTV]last_img read more

Eagles Cut Pro Bowl Receiver DeSean Jackson Gang Ties

DeSean Jackson, one of the most explosive receivers in the NFL, was released by the Philadelphia Eagles, a stunning move that is about more than football.According to ESPN, the Eagles cut ties with one of the most electrifying players in club history. This comes after they uncovered their own information on Jackson’s off-field connections and activities. In addition, they decided to release Jackson, rather than trade him to another team that might be unaware.“After careful consideration over this offseason, the Philadelphia Eagles have decided to part ways with DeSean Jackson. The team informed him of his release today,” the team said in a statement.Earlier Friday, a report by NJ.com stated the Eagles had become increasingly concerned about Jackson’s off-the-field issues and his reputed ties to Los Angeles street gang members.NFL teams have become more cautious since last summer when former New England Patriots Aaron Hernandez, who also reportedly had gang ties, was arrested and charged with first-degree murder.Jackson was due to make $10.5 million in 2014 and was owed $30.5 million over the remainder of his deal, but none of that money was guaranteed.Recent reports surfaced that the Eagles were looking to trade Jackson. There also had been rumors that Jackson was not a fit in the locker room culture that coach Chip Kelly was trying to cultivate.At the NFL owners meetings on Wednesday, Kelly said he liked Jackson, but would not commit to him for 2014, saying the Eagles would do “what’s best for the football team.”There may have been warning signs earlier this season that the Eagles may have been looking to move on from Jackson. The team moved quickly in free agency to get new deals done with wide receiver Jeremy Maclin and Riley Cooper.Jackson, 27, excelled in Kelly’s fast-paced offense, setting career highs in receptions (82) and yards (1,332), while also amassing nine touchdowns. His 6,177 receiving yards are second in franchise history and his four punt-return scores are tops in club history. read more

The NCAA Bracket Checking Our Work

Not all the numbers work out so neatly, however. Another bin contains all those favorites with win probabilities in the 50s (anywhere from 50.0 percent to 59.9 percent). These teams were supposed to win about 55 percent of the time. In fact, they’ve won 38 of 63 games, or 60.3 percent of the time. So the teams performed a little better than expected in these games.By contrast, teams with win probabilities in the 60s (from 60.0 percent to 69.9 percent) have won 35 of their 60 games, or 58.3 percent. That’s a bit worse than expected.What’s going on here? How are the somewhat heavier favorites, with win probabilities in the 60s, performing worse than those teams whose win probabilities were in the 50s? Are the heavier favorites getting cocky? Is there something wrong with the model?Probably not. Instead, these differences are well within the ranges that might result from random chance. This is easier to explain visually, as in the following graphic, which portrays the results of games from each bin along with their confidence intervals. Our NCAA tournament forecasts are probabilistic. You could say that FiveThirtyEight is “calling” for Michigan State to defeat Virginia on Friday, but it isn’t much of a call. Our model gives Michigan State a 50.7 percent chance of winning, and Virginia a 49.3 percent chance. For all intents and purposes, it’s a toss-up.Other times, of course, one team has a much clearer edge. Duke was a 92.9 percent favorite against Mercer last week, but Mercer won.Still, upsets like these are supposed to happen some of the time. The question in evaluating a probabilistic forecast is whether the underdogs are winning substantially more or less often than expected. The technical term for this is calibration. But you might think of it more as truth in advertising. Over the long run, out of all the times when we say a team is a 75 percent favorite, is it really winning about 75 percent of the time?FiveThirtyEight’s NCAA tournament projections have been published each year since 2011. The formula has changed very little over that period. (The only substantive change has been adding a fifth computer power rating, ESPN’s Basketball Power Index, this season.) That gives us a reasonable baseline for evaluation: a total of 254 games, counting the 52 played so far this year. (These totals include “play-in” games.)You can find a file containing our past predictions here. It’s important to emphasize that these predictions were published at The New York Times or ESPN versions of FiveThirtyEight in advance of each game — these are actual predictions and not hindcasts.Overall, FiveThirtyEight’s favorite won 70.0 percent of the time. How often was the favorite supposed to win? According to our model, 72.1 percent of the time. So at a macro level, the forecasts have been pretty well calibrated (70.0 percent is well within the 95 percent confidence interval drawn by simulating the results 100,000 times).But that doesn’t tell us everything. It’s also important that the heavier favorites, like Duke in its game against Mercer, win more often than the slim favorites, like Michigan State against Virginia.To evaluate this, we can break the 254 games down into bins. The most intuitive way is to use five bins based on the first digit of the favorite’s win probability. For example, one bin contains the 40 games in which the favorite’s win probability was somewhere in the 90s (that is, anywhere from 90.0 percent to 99.99999 percent; in practice, the heaviest favorite in our database is Ohio State, which had a 99.7 percent chance of beating the University of Texas at San Antonio in 2011.)We’d expect the favorite to win about 95 percent of these games. In fact, the favorite won 38 out of 40, or exactly 95 percent of the time. The exceptions were Duke this year and Missouri in 2012, which lost to Norfolk State despite being a 97.2 percent favorite. Each result is within its respective confidence interval. The calibration is not perfect. But the deviations from perfect calibration are not statistically significant. We encourage you to check our work, and let us know if you think there’s a better way to judge our results. But overall, the tournament’s results have been reasonably true to the FiveThirtyEight probabilities. Just don’t tell that to your buddy who had Duke winning it all this year.Correction: Speaking of checking our work: a reader, D.K., discovered that our database incorrectly listed Kentucky as the winner of its 2011 national semifinal against Connecticut. The chart, table and text have now been changed to reflect the correct result. We appreciate D.K.’s assistance and apologize for the error. read more